Two Senators Endorse Debt Panel Plan

By JACKIE CALMES and PETER BAKER
Published: December 1, 2010 - New York Times

WASHINGTON — The Republican and Democratic leaders of the Senate Budget Committee, Judd Gregg and Kent Conrad, said on Wednesday that they endorsed the package of long-term tax increases and spending cuts put forward by the co-chairmen of President Obamafs deficit reduction commission.

But their support was offset by several other members of Congress from both parties who indicated their opposition to the plan before a final vote on Friday.

The probable opponents include Representatives Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin, a Republican who will be the House Budget Committee chairman in the next Congress; Jeb Hensarling of Texas, who will be a Republican House leader; and Jan Schakowsky of Illinois, a liberal Democrat who has called the chairmenfs plan too hard on the middle class and has put forward her own proposal.

gThere are no easy fixes here, so while I do not agree with all parts of the co-chairmenfs final proposal, I will support it because it represents a step forward that we urgently need,h Mr. Gregg, Republican of New Hampshire, said in a statement on Wednesday, released before the panel began its last public meeting before Fridayfs vote on the proposal. gLawmakers in Washington are elected to make the decisions necessary to keep our country safe from harm and on solid economic footing. Inaction on our debt crisis is not an option at this point.h

The two co-chairmen — former Senator Alan K. Simpson, a Republican, and Erskine B. Bowles, a Democrat and former chief of staff to President Bill Clintonformally released their proposal Wednesday morning, but its broad outlines have been known for weeks. The report calls for deep cuts in domestic and military spending starting in 2012, and a sweeping overhaul of the tax code to raise revenue, in part by modifying or eliminating tax deductions like the one for home mortgage interest.

Though Mr. Gregg has influence among conservatives on fiscal matters, he is retiring at the end of the year after decades in Congress. The backing of Mr. Conrad, Democrat of North Dakota, who will remain chairman of the Senate Budget Committee in the next Congress, appeared to be more crucial.

gTo be clear, I am supporting this plan as a package, because it represents genuine bipartisan compromise, with both Democrats and Republicans making concessions,h said Mr. Conrad, who faces re-election in 2012. gI donft like everything in this package, but I like even less where our country is headed without it. It would be much easier to say no and to oppose this plan.h

He added: gAnyone watching the spreading debt crisis in Europe over the last few days, in Ireland, Portugal, and Spain, understands the threat we face is real. We canft afford to wait until the crisis is upon us.h

Two members of the 18-member deficit commission who do not hold elective office — David Cote, chief executive of Honeywell International, and Alice Rivlin, a former budget director for Congress and later for President Clinton — also announced their support for the plan on Wednesday. That suggested that there would be at least seven votes for the chairmenfs plan, counting Mr. Simpson, Mr. Bowles and Ann Fudge, a former executive of Young & Rubicam whose support is expected. In all, there are six Republican members of Congress, six Democratic members of Congress and six unelected commissioners on the panel.

Under Mr. Obamafs February order creating the commission, 14 of the 18 members must agree to send a plan to Congress — a supermajority that even some of the commissioners privately do not expect to be achieved.

Aside from Mr. Conrad and Mr. Gregg, most of the dozen members of Congress on the panel — including the three Republicans from the House who will hold senior chairmanships in the next Congress — are expected to vote against the plan. Republicans generally oppose proposed revenue increases, seek deeper spending cuts and want to repeal Mr. Obamafs health care law, despite its projected cost savings, a step the chairmenfs report does not recommend. The Democrats generally oppose cutting promised benefits for future Medicare and Social Security beneficiaries, which the plan does propose.

The potential break between the elected officials on the commission and the others underscored the reluctance of either political party to risk angering voters in the short term to pursue the nationfs long-term fiscal health.

The proposal, revised somewhat from a draft released in early November, was originally meant to be put to a vote by the commission on Wednesday, but the chairmen delayed the vote until Friday to give members more time to review the revised plan and themselves more time to line up votes in favor.

The commission pressed ahead with its last-ditch efforts as Mr. Obama and Republican leaders opened negotiations on Tuesday in search of what the president called gsensible common groundh in their debate over extending lowered income tax rates from the Bush era. It is the most immediate domestic issue facing them, and a key test of whether the two sides can work together in the new political order.

During their first meeting since the midterm elections rearranged the power map in Washington, Mr. Obama told Representative John A. Boehner, the incoming House speaker, and Senator Mitch McConnell, the Senate Republican leader, on Tuesday that he regretted not reaching out to them more in his first two years in office, and vowed to do better.

Mr. Obama assigned Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner and Jack Lew, the White House budget director, to put together a tax deal with Congress, and he suggested there would be more talks with the leaders of both parties, including a possible session at Camp David.

gToday we had the beginning of a new dialogue that I hope — and Ifm sure most Americans hope — will help break through the noise and produce real gains,h the president said after a two-hour session that included Democratic Congressional leaders as well. gAnd as we all agreed, that should begin today because therefs some things we need to get done in the weeks before Congress leaves town for the holidays.h

With a negotiating framework in place, lawmakers said they could begin to see the contours of a potential outcome that would extend the Bush-era tax rates temporarily while giving Democrats some concessions on unemployment compensation, the estate tax or other measures that were included in the stimulus package and are also due to expire this year.

gNow it is all about what Democrats can get,h said one Democratic senator who did not want to be identified talking about the prospect of the White House and Congressional Democrats conceding on extending the tax cuts for affluent Americans.

Still, House Democrats said they could press ahead as early as Thursday with a vote to allow the tax breaks for income over $250,000 for a family to expire even though such a plan appears unlikely to be able to clear a Senate filibuster, given solid Republican opposition and resistance from several Democrats. Democrats said they could use the votes to make their position clear and also illustrate that they do not have the votes to block extension of the lowered tax rates for the wealthy, clearing the way for concessions.

Failure to win support for the deficit reduction panelfs proposals from at least some lawmakers of each party would undercut the panelfs ability to even set the terms of debate over how to address chronic annual budget deficits and a national debt that is mounting toward unsustainable levels.

The chairmenfs plan would cap annual spending for both domestic and military programs; build on the cost-savings steps in Mr. Obamafs health care law; raise Social Security payroll taxes for affluent taxpayers and slowly increase the retirement age to 69 from 67; and reduce or eliminate a raft of popular tax breaks, including the mortgage interest deduction, in return for lower income-tax rates for individuals and corporations.

Among the lawmakers, the Republicans generally oppose the chairmenfs draft plan because of its tax increases for upper-income Americans. Besides Mr. Gregg, Mr. Ryan and Mr. Hensarling, the elected Republicans on the panel are Senators Tom Coburn of Oklahoma and Michael D. Crapo of Idaho, and Representative Dave Camp of Michigan.

Besides Mr. Conrad and Ms. Schakowsky, the elected Democrats are Senators Richard J. Durbin of Illinois and Max Baucus of Montana and Representatives Xavier Becerra of California and John M. Spratt Jr. of South Carolina.

While the three House Republicans are said by people involved in the deliberations to be unbending in their opposition to the blueprint developed by the chairmen, the three Senate Republicans are not. Similarly, except for Ms. Schakowsky, the Democratic House and Senate members are said to be still negotiating with one another and the chairmen toward some compromise.

gRegardless of how the vote turns out,h Mr. Bowles said at a news conference on Tuesday, he and Mr. Simpson will have won by demonstrating the difficult choices to be made on taxes and spending. gThe era of deficit denial in Washington is over,h he said.

The clash over taxes and government spending are defining the early stages of the post-election maneuvering in Washington and seem likely to remain in the forefront as the 2012 presidential campaign heats up next year.

House and Senate Republicans were adamant after the White House meeting on Tuesday that they would not give any ground on extending all the tax cuts. Top aides said they believed the negotiations by administration officials and Senators Baucus and Jon Kyl, Republican of Arizona, as well as Representatives Camp and Chris Van Hollen, Democrat of Maryland, would reach into other tax issues as lawmakers try to find a deal.

Members of both parties warned that while the door had opened to some possible resolution of what has proven to be an extremely difficult issue to resolve, the outcome remains uncertain.

gWe had a very nice meeting today,h Mr. Boehner said. gOf course, wefve had a lot of very nice meetings. The question is, can we find the common ground the American people expect us to find?h

Carl Hulse contributed reporting.